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DTN Midday Grain Comments 10/31 10:52
Soybean Futures Lower at Midday Friday; Wheat Higher; Corn Flat-Lower
Corn futures are flat to 1 cent lower at midday Friday; soybean futures are
1 to 2 cents lower; wheat futures are 1 to 3 cents higher.
David M. Fiala
DTN Contributing Analyst
MARKET SUMMARY:
Corn futures are flat to 1 cent lower at midday Friday; soybean futures are
1 to 2 cents lower; wheat futures are 1 to 3 cents higher. The U.S. stock
market is firmer at midday with the S&P up 35. The U.S. Dollar Index is 25
points higher. The interest rate products are mixed. Energy trade is mixed with
crude up .40 and natural gas is .10 higher. Livestock trade is mixed in quieter
action. Precious metals are mixed with gold up 13.00.
CORN:
Corn futures are flat to 1 cent lower with light selling across ag contracts
firming back into the middle of the day session. Ethanol margins should remain
stable as corn and unleaded hold sideways trends. Harvest pace should pick back
up into the weekend as we dry back out nationally. Fresh export sales are
expected to remain active given the recent shipping pace along with trade
optimism. Basis should start moving toward post-harvest levels into the
beginning of November. On the December chart, support is the 20-day moving
average at $4.22 with the summer gap filled at $4.33 and the next round up the
recent high at $4.37 scored Thursday.
SOYBEANS:
Soybean futures are 1 to 2 cents lower at midday as we continue to digest
the agreement with China and how it will be executed as far as short-term sales
go. Meal is 2.00 to 3.00 higher and oil is 80 to 90 points lower. Harvest on
remaining acres should pick back up into the weekend. South American weather
looks to be a non-issue short term with Brazil to continue to see good weather
for early development. Basis should start to firm if a trade deal delivers a
more-normal fall export pace from here. On the January chart, resistance is the
$11.14 1/2 area, where we find the fresh high, with the 20-day moving average
way below the market at $10.54.
WHEAT:
Wheat futures are 1 to 3 cents higher at midday with spring wheat leading
early on as we look to consolidate the range. Weather should remain mostly
favorable for the Plains short term with early stands expected to be good
overall. MATIF wheat is a bit firmer Friday morning with euro weakness.
Southern Hemisphere wheat remains in good shape as harvest continues. On the KC
December chart, support is the 20-day moving average at $4.96 that we have held
solidly above this week, with the next round up the fall high at $5.25, which
we tested Thursday.
David Fiala can be reached at dfiala@futuresone.com
Follow him on social platform X @davidfiala
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